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Super PAC poll: Obama doing better in Colorado than other swing states

A poll released yesterday by a pro-Obama organization shows that voters, well, generally like the President more than Republican challenger Mitt Romney across five key swing states.

And breaking down the data further shows that folks in Colorado appear to support Obama and dislike Romney at percentages higher than the average of the five states as a whole.

Granted, we need to take these findings with a grain of salt. After all, the research was commissioned by a Democratic super PAC: Priorities USA, a group that has funneled a lot of money into Denver television ads.

Yesterday, Priorities USA sent out a "research memo" with results from polling conducted in Colorado, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. The results, the pollsters say, reveal that Mitt Romney's business experience is "much more of a liability than an asset in key swing states."

The surveys, conducted by Democratic groups Global Strategy Group and the Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group, were based on over 3,800 total interviews with likely voters between June 25th and July 3rd, according to Priorities USA.

Across these five swing states, 37 percent of voters said that Romney's business experience at Bain Capital makes them less likely to vote for him, while 27 percent say it makes them more likely to vote for him, according to the survey. The research also found that 58 percent of voters in these states "now say it is true that as a businessman, Romney's priority was making millions for himself and his investors, regardless of the impact on jobs and the employees." (Remember -- it's a partisan poll!)

And in all five of these states, more voters have an "unfavorable view" of Romney than a favorable one -- with the average being 36 percent favorable and 43 percent unfavorable.

While a poll backed by a super PAC might not be incredibly revealing, we asked Priorities USA for stats specific to Colorado. The numbers provided to us suggest that this swing state appears to lean even more toward Obama in regard to these questions.

As the campaigns and the organizations fundraising for them continue to pour money into the swing states, it'll be interesting to keep watch of how close the margin is in Colorado relative to the other critical states. (Obama won Colorado in 2008, but the state went Republican in 2004 and in 2000).

Page down to get more details about the poll and its results.  

A Mitt Romney supporter in Grand Junction.
A Mitt Romney supporter in Grand Junction.

The poll shows that in Colorado, Obama is up 49 percent to 42 percent over Romney in a head-to-head matchup. These numbers are very close to those for the five states as a whole; by that measure, Obama leads Romney by a 48 percent to 42 percent margin.

Additionally, in Colorado, 45 percent have an unfavorable view of Romney, as compared to 43 percent in all five swing states. It's worth noting that 37 percent view him favorably in Colorado, while the average is 36 percent in that category. (A spokeswoman says the numbers don't add up to 100 percent because sometimes respondents don't answer questions or haven't heard of the person in question).

Finally, in Colorado, 40 percent said they were less likely to vote for Romney because of his Bain Capital experience, as opposed to 37 percent across the states. (In Colorado, 28 percent are more likely to vote Romney because of Bain versus a 27 percent average in that category).

The memo notes that Romney has the highest unfavorable rating in Ohio: 46 percent.

The polls were conducted in these five specific states, because it's where Priorities USA has been running ads, according to a spokeswoman for the super PAC. And findings from the survey, the group's memo says, apparently show that the Priorities ad campaign has "had a clear negative impact on perceptions of Romney across a variety of metrics."

This survel comes on the heels of back-and-forth attacks between Romney and Obama over the Republican candidate's offshore accounts and tax records, which the Democrats in Colorado have been highlighting at press events. Meanwhile, Romney has been campaigning and fundraising in Colorado this week.

When asked about these numbers, Ellie Wallace, the Republican National Committee's Colorado spokeswoman, sent along a statement questioning the merits of the poll and criticizing Obama's record on jobs:

Hard to take seriously an internal poll from a Bill Maher funded Obama Super PAC touting their own negative attack ads that have been consistently proven false by independent fact checkers. The Obama campaign and their allies have continued to mislead voters with false attacks on Governor Romney's business record because they have no answer for their own failed economic record that has seen 41 months of unemployment over 8 percent. In fact, the Obama campaign even admitted today that billions of taxpayer dollars meant to create jobs here that were sent overseas instead.

More from our Politics archive: "Diana DeGette's push for temporary-firefighter insurance gains a big ally: The President"

Follow Sam Levin on Twitter at @SamTLevin. E-mail the author at Sam.Levin@Westword.com.


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